PLAY PODCASTS
More or Less

More or Less

1,087 episodes — Page 13 of 22

WS More or Less: Debunking guide – on a postcard

How to question dubious statistics in just a few short steps.

Feb 18, 201810 min

UN rape claims, Stalin and Mr Darcy

How many people have UN staff raped? – (0’40’’) It was reported in a number of the newspapers this week that UN staff are responsible for 60,000 rapes in a decade. The wealth of Mr Darcy – (5’10”) The male love interest of ‘Pride and Prejudice’ is supposed to be fabulously wealthy. Is he?How many people did Stalin kill? – (10’00”) Why there are so many different figures reported.Avoid splitting the bill – (18’25”) Credit card roulette is Dan Ariely’s preferred way of ending a meal with friends.Gender in literature – (22’15”)How are women depicted in books? Author Ben Blatt does an analysis.

Feb 16, 201828 min

WS More or Less: Has Russian Drinking Fallen by 80% in five years?

Alcohol consumption has fallen sharply according to Russia’s health ministry

Feb 11, 20186 min

The Dow, Tampons, Parkrun part II

Why the biggest ever fall in the Dow wasn't, and how much do women spend on tampons?

Feb 9, 201828 min

WS More or Less: Is China On Track to End Poverty by 2020?

A key pledge of the Chinese President Xi Jinping is that China will have eradicated poverty by 2020. It’s an extraordinary claim, but the country does have a good track record in improving the wealth of its citizens; the World Bank says China has contributed more than any other country to global poverty reduction. So how does China measure poverty? And is it possible for them to make sure, over the next few years, that no one falls below their poverty line?Photo: A woman tends to her niece amid the poor surroundings of her home's kitchen Credit: FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP/Getty Images

Feb 5, 201813 min

Transgender Numbers, Parkrun and Snooker

How many transgender people are there in the UK?The UK produces official statistics about all sorts of things – from economic indicators to demographic data. But it turns out there are no official figures for the number of transgender people in the UK. We explore what we do know, and what is harder to measure.Do 4% of the population drink nearly a third of the alcohol?According to recent headlines, just 4% of the population drink nearly a third of the alcohol sold in England. But can so few people really account for so much of the countries bar tab? We find out where the statistic came from. Bank of England’s Mark Carney says no to RPIAt a hearing of the House of Lords’ economic affairs committee, the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, said it would be useful to have a single measure of inflation for consumers – and that CPI was a much better measure than RPI, which he said had “no merit”. We find out why with the FT’s Chris Giles.A statistical take on parkrunEvery weekend over 1.5 million people run 5,000m on Saturday mornings for parkrun which is a free event that takes place all over the UK and indeed across the globe. Each runner is given a bar code, which is scanned at the end of the run and fed into a database showing them what place they came in their race– we take a look at which courses are the fastest, slowest, hardest and easiest. Testing for a cough correlation between snooker and smokingA listener emailed us this week to ask whether you can connect the number of coughs during snooker matches to the decline in smoking. We got counting to see if the theory was a trick shot - with help from John Virgo. Photo: Jimmy White Credit: Photo by Jamie McDonald/Getty Images

Feb 2, 201831 min

Is the US Census Under Threat?

The survey question that could affect the accuracy of its results.The United States are due to run their next nationwide census in 2020, but already critics are warning that underfunding and proposed question about citizenship could affect the accuracy of its results. We look at the real life consequences if groups choose not to complete the 2020 census, and ask whether the recent politically charged debate is unusual in its two hundred year history. Presenter: Tim Harford Producer: Kate LamblePhoto: Concerned woman holding a clipboard and a pen Credit: Nicolas McComber/Getty Images

Jan 29, 20189 min

A Girl's First Time, Shark's Stomachs, Prime numbers

First sexual experience - checking the facts A short film for the Draw A Line campaign has made the claim that one in three girls first sexual experience is rape. This seems shockingly high, but what is the evidence? Is it just for the UK or a global figure? We go back to the reports that were used to source the claim, and find the research has been misinterpreted.How long can a shark go for without eating? A recent episode of Blue Planet II stated that after a large meal a Sixgill shark might not have to eat for 'up to an entire year'. Tim Harford speaks to Dr David Ebert, a shark expert who has studied the stomach contents of Sixgills over the years. And to Professor Alex Roger, a zoologist who advised the Blue Planet team, to try and find out how accurate the claim is and why the deep sea is still a mystery. The wonder of Prime Numbers Oxford mathematician Vicky Neale talks about her new book - Closing The Gap - and how mathematicians have striven to understand the patterns behind prime numbers. Multiple grannies A Swiss mummy has recently been identified as a distant ancestor of Boris Johnson. But some people have been getting tangled up over just how many great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandmothers the Foreign Secretary might have. We tackle an email from one listener - none other than the broadcaster Stephen Fry.

Jan 26, 201823 min

WS More or Less: Real Lives Behind the Numbers

If you ask an economist to explain what is happening in a country’s economy. They rely on economic data points to describe what is happening – they might talk about the unemployment rate, average wages, and the numbers of people in poverty. They pull together the information available for thousands or millions of people to work out trends.But are we getting the whole picture?We speak to Rachel Schneider, co-author of the book, ‘The Financial Diaries’. It’s based on a large study in the USA. Over a period of a year from 2012 to 2013, researchers interviewed several families about how they were managing their money to find out the personal stories behind economic data.Presenter and Producer: Charlotte McDonald(Photo: A couple looking at their finances. Credit: Wayhome Studio/Shutterstock)

Jan 22, 20188 min

Gender Pay Gaps and How to Learn a Language

Gender Pay Gap This week the Office for National Statistics has published analysis trying to find out why it is that on average women are paid less than men in specific industries and occupations. We examine their findings, as well as taking a look at the current discussion about equal pay at the BBC.Alcohol reaction times We take a look at a study that suggests that people's reaction speeds are affected over time by regular drinking. It recommends that official guidelines for the amount of alcohol consumed a week should be lowered. But what does the evidence show?Bus announcements - when is too many? Transport for London has introduced a new announcement on its buses to warn travellers that the bus is about to move. We discuss the benefit of such messages. How many words do you need to speak a language? Ein bier bitte? Loyal listener David made a new year's resolution to learn German. Three years later, that's about as far as he's got. Keen to have something to aim for, he asked More or Less how many words you really need to know in order to speak a language. We find out with help from Professor Stuart Webb, and put Tim through his paces to find out how big his own English vocabulary is.Producer: Charlotte McDonald.(Photo: Man and woman working on a car production plant. Credit: SEBASTIEN BOZON/AFP/Getty Images)

Jan 19, 201827 min

WS More or Less: How Louis Bachelier Scooped Economists by Half a Century

A forgotten French mathematician is the focus of our programme. He anticipated both Einstein's theories and the application of maths to the stock market. Born in the 1870s, his work was unusual at the time. With the help of Alison Etheridge, Professor of Mathematics at the University of Oxford, we explain how his ideas were rediscovered decades after his death.(Photo: Pocket watch. Credit: Kanyapak Lim/Shutterstock)

Jan 15, 20189 min

Missed appointments, graduate pay, plus cocaine on bank notes

Did missed appointments cost the NHS £1 billion last year? New figures published recently suggest that the financial cost to the NHS for missed appointments was £1 billion last year. But our listeners are curious. How has this figure been worked out? And don’t missed appointments actually ease the pressure on an overcrowded system?Graduate pay – is it always higher than non-graduates’ pay? It is often claimed that if you go to university and get a degree, you will earn more than those who do not. But is that always true? We take a look to see if there are occasions when having a degree makes little difference or whether the benefit of a degree has changed over time.How much cocaine is on a bank note? Tim Harford speaks to Richard Sleeman who works for a firm, Mass Spec Analytical, that specialises in working out how much cocaine can be found on bank notes across the country. Do some parts of the country have more cocaine on their notes than others? Is it true that 99% of bank notes in London have cocaine on them?Is it true that one in five can’t name an author of literature? Last year the Royal Society of Literature made this claim – but what was it based on? It turns out a polling company found that 20 percent questioned failed to name a single author. Should we be surprised? We took a look at the data.Diet Coke Habit The New York Times claims that Donald Trump drinks ‘a dozen’ Diet Cokes a day. With each can of 330ml containing 42mg of caffeine - what impact, if any, could this have on the President’s health?

Jan 12, 201828 min

WS More or Less: Just how rare is a hole-in-one?

Why it isn’t as simple to work out as you think.

Jan 7, 20188 min

More or Less: Statistics of the Year 2017

Phones, lawn mowers and how Kim Kardashian helped the public understanding of risk.

Dec 31, 20179 min

WS More or Less: Will Bitcoin use more electricity than the United States?

Measuring the energy used to keep the cryptocurrency secure.

Dec 24, 20179 min

WS More or Less: Diet Coke Habit; 'Contained' Wildfires

Could the US President’s Diet Coke habit affect his health? and 'contained' wildfires

Dec 18, 20179 min

WS More or Less: Does Eating Chocolate Make Your Brain Younger?

Headlines claim that eating chocolate can protect you from developing Alzheimer’s disease. The theory is that bioactives within chocolate called flavanols can help reduce the risk of heart attacks, strokes and even make your brain 30 years younger! But isn’t this all a bit too good to be true? The BBC’s Head of Statistics, Robert Cuffe, investigates whether research findings are misrepresented by funders, PR machines and the media. Presenter: Robert Cuffe Producer: Lizzy McNeill

Dec 11, 201710 min

WS More or Less: Just how lucky are regular lottery winners?

Are some people just very lucky? The maths suggest that is unlikely.

Dec 4, 201710 min

WS More or Less: How Rich was Jane Austen’s Mr Darcy?

What the Pride and Prejudice character would have earned in today’s money.

Nov 26, 20178 min

How expensive is Italy's World Cup failure?

The Italians are calling it the apocalypse. Their team has failed to make it to the World Cup for the first time in 60 years. But it is about more than just national pride - there is a financial cost too. Some have suggested that it will cost FIFA $100m. Is this really true? We speak to sports writer Graham Dunbar who has been counting how much money football's world governing body might lose out on. Also we fact check the claim that 45% of Nigerian women marry before their 18th birthday. Presenter: Ruth Alexander Producer: Xavier Zapata(Image: Alessandro Florenzi of Italy at the end of the FIFA 2018 World Cup Qualifier play-off, November 13, 2017. Credit: Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

Nov 17, 20178 min

WS More or Less: Why Albums are Getting Longer

Chris Brown’s latest album is stuffed with so many songs it runs at a sprawling two hours and twenty minutes. It’s only the latest in a string of lengthy album releases that includes artists like Drake, The Weeknd and Lil B. More or Less speaks to Hugh McIntyre, a music journalist who has found out that a numerical change in the way the album charts are measured is tempting artists into making longer albums.We also talk to Marc Hogan, a senior writer at Pitchfork, about a number that is changing the sound of pop music. You can find more of Marc Hogan's writing on pitchfork.comPresenter: Jordan Dunbar Producer: Xavier Zapata (Chris Brown performs onstage at 2017 BET Awards. Credit: Paras Griffin/Getty Images for BET)

Nov 12, 201713 min

WS More or Less: Do Nigerian lawmakers get $1.7m and do Yams cause twins?

Finding out if Nigerian politicians really get paid more than the American President.

Nov 5, 20178 min

WS More or Less: Novelists in numbers

Counting the favourite words of well-known authors: Stephen King, Hemingway and others

Oct 30, 20178 min

WS More or Less: Are US millennials more politically engaged online?

Did the 2016 US election galvanise young people to become more engaged in politics?

Oct 20, 20178 min

How Richard Thaler changed Economics

The behavioural economist who has inspired governments around the world.

Oct 13, 201722 min

WS More or Less: Kilobyte to Brontobyte

Naming the monster numbers - how the names of digital storage files evolved.

Oct 10, 20178 min

WS More or Less: Big polluters - ships versus cars

Do the largest ships emit as much pollution as all the cars in the world?

Oct 2, 20179 min

Uber; EU passports; counting domestic violence

Is Uber safe? The post Brexit dual nationality surge and measuring partner abuse.

Sep 29, 201724 min

WS More or Less: Sperm - Are we going extinct?

How much of a problem is falling sperm count?

Sep 25, 20179 min

Statistics abuse, tuition fees and beer in 1887

Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is accused of mis-using official statistics.

Sep 22, 201725 min

WS More or Less: How to measure a Hurricane

What’s the best way to measure a hurricane?

Sep 15, 20179 min

Are Natural Disasters on the Rise?

Has the number of natural disasters really quadrupled in the last forty years?

Sep 15, 201725 min

WS More or Less: More Horses than Tanks?

Is the UK the only country with more horses than tanks in its army?

Sep 11, 20179 min

Electric cars, school-ready and feedback

Will we need more power stations? Plus, are children in Manchester ready for school?

Sep 8, 201725 min

One in 500 Year Storm

Experts are saying that Houston just suffered a one in 500 year storm but what does that mean?

Sep 4, 20176 min

Grenfell Tower's Death Toll

The difficulties of finding the true number of people who died in the fire.

Sep 1, 201727 min

Fantasy Football - How to win

Figuring out the best strategy as a wannabe team manager.

Aug 28, 201710 min

A-levels, drowning and dress sizes

Are boys getting more top A Level grades than girls? Plus why are dress sizes so weird?

Aug 25, 201727 min

The Trump Bump

During a recent press conference President Trump said: “I’ve created over a million jobs since I’m president. The country is booming. The stock market is setting records. We’ve got the highest employment numbers we have ever had I the history of our country.” This is not the first time the American President has taken credit for a booming economy. But is that fair? We take a look at the numbers.

Aug 20, 201710 min

Are there 15,000 transgender people serving in the US military?

President Trump says transgender individuals cannot serve, but how many do already?

Aug 14, 20178 min

Why is Kenya’s election so expensive?

On Tuesday Kenyans go to the polls to elect members of parliament and the next president. A report in Quartz Africa has estimated that the cost of putting on the election by the Government works out at around $25 per head – $480 million in total. It also estimated that it cost Rwanda $1 a head, and Uganda $4 a head to lay on elections. Recently an expert on this programme estimated that the UK General election cost about $4 a head. We explore why there is such a difference in the amounts spent.

Aug 7, 20178 min

More boys than girls in Sweden?

Exploring if an influx of teenage boys claiming asylum skewed the population’s sex ratio

Jul 31, 20178 min

Maryam Mirzakhani – A Genius of Maths

Celebrating the only woman to win the biggest prize in mathematics.

Jul 24, 20179 min

Calling the shots at Wimbledon

Using statistics to prove or disprove the wisdom of tennis is the theme this week. In this digital age we are used to information at our fingertips. This week More or Less finds out how every rally, every shot at this tennis championship is counted and makes its way to our phones, desktops and TV screens. And once you have this information – what can you do with it? Is it useful for players and coaches? Traditionally, players will take a risk on their first chance to serve, and hit the ball as fast as they can, knowing that they have a second chance. On their second attempt, players tend to serve more slowly and carefully to make sure it goes in. But could the statistics show they might as well take a risk again?(Venus Williams plays a backhand during the Ladies Singles first round match against Elise Mertens at Wimbledon. Credit: Getty Images)

Jul 17, 20178 min

Is Steph Curry cheap and how random is random?

Are top basketball players underpaid?The American basketballer Stephen Curry has just signed the biggest contract in NBA history. The new deal will pay him $200 million over 5 years but amazingly, according to fellow superstar player Lebron James, he’s probably being underpaid. It may sound ridiculous but economists agree. How can this be true? We look at the economics of superstar sports salaries.The mystery of Ryanair’s seat allocationRyanair carries more international passengers a year than any other airline. The European budget carrier is renowned for its low cost seats. If you want to guarantee seating next to people you book with, you have to pay extra. Otherwise, Ryanair says it will allocate seats randomly. We speak to statistician Dr Jennifer Rogers from the University of Oxford about her doubts over the ‘random’ nature of the seat allocation.Presenter: Charlotte McDonald Producer: Charlotte McDonald and Richard Vadon

Jul 10, 20178 min

In Search of Woodall Primes

It’s the 100 year centenary of an obscure type of prime number – the Woodall Primes. To celebrate, stand-up mathematician Matt Parker is calling on listeners to search for a new one. Ordinary citizens can already help search for Mersenne Prime numbers by lending computer processing power to GIMPS – the Great Internet Mersenne Prime Search. Matt explains to Tim Harford what a Woodall Prime is, and why it deserves more attention.Also - Making penalty shoot-outs fairer - 60% of penalty shoot-outs are won by the team going first, can this unfairness be overcome?(image Matt Parker / photographer: Steve Ullathorne)

Jun 30, 201720 min

How rare are deadly tower block fires?

How statistics can help us understand the tragic fire at London’s Grenfell Tower.

Jun 26, 20178 min

Trumpton Extra

The Voice of 1960s British children’s TV series ‘Trumpton’, Brian Cant, died this week. The More or Less team has visited the town of Trumpton on a number of occasions so we have brought together a handful of our favourites as a tribute.

Jun 21, 201716 min

Post-Election Special

The results of the general election are in - but what do they mean? Did more young people vote than expected? Have we now got a more diverse parliament? How many extra votes would Jeremy Corbyn have needed to become Prime Minister - these are just some of the claims and questions that have been floating around on social media and in the press. Tim Harford and the team are going to analyse, add context and try and find answers.

Jun 19, 201729 min

WS More or Less: Are African football players more likely to die on the field?

Cheick Tiote, the much loved former Newcastle United player collapsed and died while training with Chinese side Beijing Enterprises earlier this month. His death and that of other black footballers have caused some commentators to ask – are African or black players more likely to die while playing than other people? The data of footballers deaths is pretty poor but we try to glean some answers from the scant numbers available. It look like one of the most common causes of death among players on the pitch is cardiac arrest – son is this is a greater risk factor for people of African heritage?We speak to statistician Dr Robert Mastrodomenico and Professor Sanjay Sharma, a specialist in sports cardiology. Presented and produced by Jordan Dunbar and Charlotte McDonald

Jun 12, 20179 min